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View Diary: Why the current GOP can't win Latinos (173 comments)

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  •  Texas isn't the only state (12+ / 0-)

    You're looking at South Carolina, Georgia, and even Mississippi and Louisiana narrowing politically as the years go on. All five could be surprisingly competitive within the next 8 to 12 years. White population growth in MS and LA are virtually nil or falling, while minority populations continue to grow in leaps and bounds.

    I did some quick and dirty numbers, based on 2010 Census data and exit polls. South Carolina's winner in 2020 (likely Republican, based on this alone) would be within 3% (about 51% to 48%), compared with 55% Romney to 44% Obama in 2012. Basically, it's the gerrymandering that keeps the GOP from completely losing the House these days (local-level elections), while the Presidency is escaping the GOP's grasp.

    I think Krauthammer's prognosis of some social conservative revolution within the Latino ranks to be sort of obtuse. Especially when people like Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach continue to espouse and craft hostile laws against Latinos, but then hide behind--currently--overwhelmingly white populations to dismiss the growth of Latinos. I think it's clear the GOP is no friend to immigration. They insist they're for legal immigration, even as they openly disenfranchise the voting powers of legal non-whites.

    "Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of the cancer cell." ~Edward Abbey ////\\\\ "To be a poor man is hard, but to be a poor race in a land of dollars is the very bottom of hardships." ~W.E.B. DuBois

    by rovertheoctopus on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 12:12:16 PM PST

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