No info on the candidate numbers has leaked (yet?), but here's what was just reported on CNN.....
Bill Schneider: Here's an interesting fact we discovered in the exit poll. About 1 in 7, 14% of both Democrats & Republicans, told us they made their minds up, how they're going to vote today. This very day. So there could be some changes from the pre-election polls.
I'll update as more information becomes available.
CNN did release some of the internals of the Exit Poll.....
- Most Important Issue? [Democrats]
Economy | 36% |
Iraq | 32% |
Health Care | 28% |
- Most Important Issue? [Republicans]
Economy | 29% |
Iraq | 24% |
Illegal Immigration | 22% |
Terrorism | 20% |
- Most Important To Your Vote? [Democrats]
Issues | 57% |
Personal Qualities | 41% |
- Most Important To Your Vote? [Republicans]
Personal Qualities | 54% |
Issues | 43% |
Update [2008-1-8 18:0:45 by Rimjob]:
From the AP: 60% Of New Hampshire Independents Vote Democrat
Preliminary exit polls showed independents were more attracted to the Democratic contest; about 60 percent chose the Democratic primary over the Republican primary, according to partial samples in surveys for The Associated Press and the television networks.
The surveys showed the economy was the top concern of Republican primary voters; after the economy, they split evenly on immigration, Iraq and terrorism. A third of GOP primary voters said they strongly approve of the Iraq war, and at least as many said they approve somewhat.
Update [2008-1-8 18:0:45 by Rimjob]:
From TheBostonChannel.com: "Change" Dominates
New Hampshire Democrats went to the polls in seemingly record numbers Tuesday driven by an overwhelming desire for change. An exit poll conducted for WCVB-TV and TheBostonChannel.com found that 56 percent of voters in the Democratic primary made their decision based on the candidate they best felt could bring about "needed change." Eighteen percent voted for a candidate because he or she had the right experience and only 7 percent said the "best chance to win in November" was the major factor in their decision.
The exit poll of Democrats showed a race in rapid flux. Thirty-six percent of the voters said they had made the final choice over the weekend or as they went into the polls on primary day. The heavily watched Saturday debate was a factor in voter decision. Seventy-six percent said it was important to them. The exit poll of Democrats showed a race in rapid flux. Thirty-six percent of the voters said they had made the final choice over the weekend or as they went into the polls on primary day.
Update [2008-1-8 18:16:26 by Rimjob]:
In the comments some are talking about Chris Matthews hinting at an Obama blowout, so take this for what it's worth. Over at National Review's The Corner (which in the past has gotten the Exit Polls right & sometimes very wrong), they have this little blurb.....
I'm hearing leaked exits that have McCain winning by six and Obama by 4. But I'm very skeptical—polls aren't closed, etc. Meaningless.
But there you are.
An update to this update.
UPDATE:
"turnout numbers suggest these exits could be even more unreliable than their usual unreliability. they depend on accurate turnout modeling"
Update [2008-1-8 18:44:46 by Rimjob]:
From Marc Ambinder of The Atlantic:
GOP: 3 in 10 GOP voters are independents ...many late deciders... McCain more electable than Romney...33% say economy is biggest issue followed by Iraq (22%) .... Democrats: 46% made up minds without last week.. 4 in 10 are independents.... HRC's favorability: 73%; Obama's: 84%; ... 36% say economy is top issue....
Also....
Bill Clinton to major suorrgates on a conference call today: "I don't know what's going to happen. I know it's going to be a little closer than people expect. You've just got to keep your chin up and keep fighting."
Maggie Williams, Roy Spence, Doug Sosnik to participate in post-postmortem conference call with Clinton campaign officials tomorrow; Williams may play senior managerial role; no one being fired.
From The Huffington Post: "Turnout"
One person described it as "Mardi Gras without the beads."
Even before the first ballots were cast, election observers were predicting a massive turnout for this first-primary-in-the-nation state. Just five days earlier in Iowa, record numbers of people turned out to caucus, including an estimated 239,000 Democrats. Asked how these trends would translate in New Hampshire, Secretary of State William Gardner projected that 500,000 voters would hit the polls, a boost of more than 100,000 over the previous record.
And indeed, by the time some voting stations opened across the state, people were already lined up and waiting to cast their ballots. At the Beech Street School in Manchester, 30 early risers waited for election officials at the door. By 3:30 pm, the voting station had seen more than 1,200 people pass through the doors, surpassing the total from the entire day of municipal voting that took place in October.
Even the campaigns were struck by the turnout. Two officials -- one Republican and one Democrat -- told the Huffington Post that what was happening in New Hampshire was not only unexpected but unprecedented. "This is the most crowded, most intense election I've ever seen," said Bob Lago, a 50-year-old native of Manchester. "There are lots of people, media, foreign press, French and Japanese. They are all trying to find the last undecided voters. My son was followed around for 30 minutes today on TV."
Update [2008-1-8 19:28:54 by Rimjob]:
In the comments & around the web, these seem to be the numbers making the rounds. We'll find out in a little bit how close to reality they are.
Obama | 41% |
Clinton | 37% |
Edwards | 15% |
McCain | 36% |
Romney | 30% |
Huckabee | 13% |
Paul | 11% |
Giuliani | 9% |