Perhaps this will shut up the concern trolls spouting "Obama sux" based on a single post-convention bounce poll that is almost definitely an outlier.
Pennsylvania, Rasmussen 09/07 (8/19)
Obama: 47 (48)
McCain: 45 (45)
McCain +1 (ooh, I'm so worried!)
Ohio, Rasmussen 09/07 (8/18)
Obama: 44 (43)
McCain: 51 (48)
McCain +2 (uh-oh...!)
Florida, Rasmussen 09/07 (8/18)
Obama: 48 (46)
McCain: 48 (48)
McCain -2 (Palin effect?!?)
Virginia, Rasmussen 09/07 (8/12)
Obama: 47 (47)
McCain: 49 (48)
McCain +1 (oh no, we're not winning Virginia!)
Colorado, Rasmussen 09/07 (8/13)
Obama: 49 (48)
McCain: 46 (49)
McCain -4 (pssh, 9evs don't matter...never mind that if Obama wins CO, he wins the election)
Washington, SUSA 09/05-07 (8/11-12)
Obama: 49 (51)
McCain: 45 (44)
McCain +3 (oh no! [seriosly speaking, WA being this close is worrying, but probably more to do with SUSA methodology])
Virginia, SUSA 09/05-07 (8/08-10)
Obama: 47 (47)
McCain: 49 (48)
McCain +1 (look at that convention bounce! He's really rallied the evangelicals...be afraid democrats, very afraid!)
Obama was up by around 3* points in national polls in the mid-August period. Right now Obama is down 2.9*.Which is right where he should be according to a statistical analysis at typical convention bounces.
*RCP Average
From 538
State/Pollster WAS NOW SWING
OH Rasmussen McCain +5 McCain +7 McCain +2
MI PPP Obama +3 Obama +1 McCain +2
PA Rasmussen Obama +3 Obama +2 McCain +1
VA Rasmussen McCain +1 McCain +2 McCain +1
VA SurveyUSA McCain +1 McCain +2 McCain +1
FL Rasmussen McCain +2 TIE Obama +2
CO Rasmussen McCain +1 Obama +3 Obama +4
====================================================
AVERAGE McCain +0.6 McCain +0.7 McCain +0.1
That's a bounce of +0.1 in these state polls, with a national poll "bounce" of about +6 (including that USA Today poll) . Sorry, if I'm not depressed about our prospects this year.
This is not the most impressive polling for a post-convention bounce (I've taken the liberty to remove the USA Today poll).
ABC News/Wash Post McCain +2
CBS News McCain +2
CNN Tie
Rasmussen Tracking McCain +1
Hotline/FD Tracking Tie
Gallup Tracking 09/05 McCain +5