Who else could've cost Obama yesterday's victory?
by kos
Wed May 07, 2008 at 01:16:00 PM PDT
Boy, I keep hearing from all over the place that if it wasn't for those meddlin' blacks, Clinton would've won big yesterday!
Yes, it's true. African Americans were a big component of his winning margin in NC and paper-thin loss in Indiana. But who else was a big component? Let's look at some other demographics Obama got, with the percent
% of vote % for Obama
IN: People with college degrees 35 56
NC: People with college degrees 44 57
IN: First time primary voters 19 69
NC: First time primary voters 22 60
IN: Independents 23 54
NC: Independents 19 45*
IN: Liberals 39 56
NC: Liberals 42 63
IN: Urban 33 60
NC: Urban 27 66
IN: White 17-29 year-olds 12 54
NC: White 17-29 year-olds 8 57
IN: All 17-29 year-olds 17 61
NC: All 17-29 year-olds 14 74
IN: 17-64 year-olds 86 52
NC: 17-64 year-olds 80 60
The 17-64 number is particularly stark, but there are a ton of demographics that have voted heavily for Obama. Anyone under 64, first-time voters, young voters, urban voters, educated voters, etc. What about rich elites? Actually, Clinton won those in Indiana (52% of those making over $100K, which in Indiana, is a lot).
I should go around talking about Clinton's "non-senior problem". It would make far more sense, given that they're about 80 percent+ of the electorate, than bizarrely fixating on race as though it's the only factor at play.
(*) North Carolina is only the fourth state in which Clinton has won the independent vote.
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