I know that Wisconsin was very close in 2000, but is this the year the it goes Republican?
I have followed
DCs Politcal Report for some time and he recently updated his presidential forecast. If you haven't seen this website, he forecasts all of the federal offices in each state. He was very accurate in 2002 so he has a lot of credibility with me. Plus I think he is a Democrat.
His electoral breakdown shows Kerry picking up all the states that Gore won, but losing Wisconsin to Bush. He also has Kerry picking up Nevada and West Virginia. The net result in electoral votes in this scenario would be Bush 278 and Kerry 260. A Kerry win in Wisconsin would give him the 270 electorals to bring this thing home.
Has anyone seen the latest poll out of the Badger State? The lastest one he has at his website shows a trend toward Bush losing ground.
Can anyone shed any light on the situation in Wisconsin?