During the June Democratic Primary Debate, I and others here, called Castro’s reckless proposal to decriminalize the border political suicide in the general election. We pointed out how that policy is not even popular with Latinos in general and how it marches right into Trump’s trap on immigration.
After the debate, I wrote a diary ripping into my own fave, Beto O’Rourke, for failing to forcefully make the case against Castro’s plan. I pointed out Beto, of all Dems on that stage, understood how poorly it would play back home in Texas and for the down-ballot races in 2020. I argued Beto’s hard pushback might have given other Dems some pause before making the plunge to back Castro on immigration.
But, hey I’m just a lowly Kossack, not a political expert of a swing state… like Jon Ralston.
For those who don’t know him, Jon Ralston IS called the “guru of Nevada politics.” He famously predicted the polls were wrong and Harry Reid would win re-election in 2010. He also predicted Trump would lose NV in 2016, citing the reactions from Las Vegas’ all important Latino voters and unions
As Ralston predicted, Blue Wave did crash into Nevada in 2018 and Democrats swept all state-wide offices and flipped the statehouse blue. In the 2019 session, the newly elected blue team has enacted several liberal wishlists including automatic voter registration, a bill Ralston pegged “the GOP killer.”
Jon Ralston returned from a long break to give the Dems a warning tonight. I wouldn’t bet against his advice when it comes to carrying Nevada in 2020.
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
"Hi, Democrats, you all dug yourself a big hole on immigration last time out with the decriminalization and free health-care stuff. Here's a shovel to continue digging tonight...."