There’s great news from PPP regarding our quest to take back the US Senate, but before I share that info, I want you all to read this, which is part of the news release from PPP.
www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
PPP has been arguing that the key to this fall’s election is whether voters who oppose Trump come together around the eventual Democratic nominee and the polls in Maine and Arizona really exemplify that. In Maine, voters who are undecided in a Biden-Trump match up support Sanders 58-3 and voters who are undecided in a Sanders-Trump match up support Biden 56-8. If they just voted the same way in both match ups Biden’s lead would grow to 13 points and Sanders’ lead would grow to 14 points.
You can do a similar sort of analysis in Arizona. Voters who are undecided in Biden/Trump give Trump a 6% approval rating to 57% of voters who disapprove of him. Voters who are undecided in Sanders/Trump give Trump a 2% approval rating to 68% of voters who disapprove of him. If the undecideds voted based on whether they approve of Trump or not, Biden and Sanders would each come out ahead 52-48 in Arizona.
There are not enough voters out there who like Trump for him to get reelected- his only path is for Sanders backers to refuse to vote Biden or for Biden backers to refuse to vote Sanders if their candidate of choice doesn’t win the Democratic nomination. The race is going to be a toss up even if anti-Trump voters don’t fully come together- but it may not even end up being that close if they do come together.
Go up and read that AGAIN, I’ll wait.
OK, now the Senate numbers.
Sara Gideon leads Susan Collins 47-43 in the Maine Senate race.
Mark Kelly leading Martha McSally 47-42 in the Arizona Senate race.
Cal Cunningham leads Thom Tillis 46-41 in the North Carolina Senate race.
John Hickenlooper leads Cory Gardner 51-38 in the Colorado Senate race.